A powerful solar storm nearly destroyed all electronics in 1859. Our defenses are 10% weaker; will a solar storm shut us down in 2012 / 2013? Angelic Scorn
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Solar Storms (Coronal mass ejection)
What are solar storms? A solar storm is a temporary disturbance on earths magnetosphere caused by, coronal mass ejections, sun flares or coronal holes. This disturbance can result in damage to satellites, shorting out power grids and a really powerful solar storm can even cause damage to micro chips and magnetic strips. A super solar storm can in theory, shut down banks, power grids and wipe out all the information we store on computer systems. Basically it can in theory shut down the modern world. Contrary to common believe solar storm can not burn the earth to a crisp. For more information on the earth’s magneto sphere click here Magnetic pole reversal
Have any technology been effected by solar storms before? Yes. Solar storms occur roughly every 11years and they differ in magnitude. Sometimes they only cause damage to satellites and on even more rear occasions they cause damage on earth surface. The biggest know solar storm was in 1859. This storm destroyed telegraph systems in Europe as well as in the USA. Scientists consider us lucky, because we where not as dependent on technology in 1859 as we are today. The seconded biggest known solar storm was in 1989. This solar storm was much weaker then the 1859 solar storm but was still powerful enough to shut down the hydro-Quebec power grid in Canada.
How do solar storms form? Because the sun like other stars is made up out of gas, the equator rotates faster then the poles. These different speeds results in the magnetic fields on the sun to twist and tangle. After a period of time these magnetic fields gets twisted and bend so much that they brake resulting in huge amounts of electronically charged partials being ejected away from the suns surface. During solar maximum (the period when the strongest solar storms occur) the sun reverses its magnetic poles. A large amount of people are under the impression that the sun also changes its direction of rotation during this period. This is not true; the sun does not change its direction of rotation during solar maximum. Magnetic pole reversal is not limited to the sun but also happens on earth; for more information on that click here Magnetic pole reversal.
When will the next solar storm occur? Just like the weather on earth space weather is very difficult to predict. Making matters even worse is the fact that we have a limited understanding when it comes to space weather. NASA has predicted a massive solar storm in 2012, even bigger the one we had in 1859. However NASA has revised their prediction and now says we will have a below average size solar storm in 2013. The fact of the matter is that solar storms are very unpredictable and no one really known’s when the next solar storm will be and how large it will be. There is a theory that states that the suns poles only shifted halve way during the 2001 solar maximum. The reason why it is called a theory is because no proof of this has been found as yet. If this theory is correct it will explain why the solar wind is so weak at this point in time and why the suns magnetos sphere is so small at this point in time. This theory (if correct) will also explain why we have so little sun spot activity at this point in time. If this theory is correct; there could be three possible out comes during the next solar maximum in 2012/2013. The one is that the magnetic poles will make a 180degree shift resulting in another low solar maximum. The seconded is that the magnetic poles will return to the physical poles also resulting in another low solar maximum. The last possibility is that the magnetic poles could move over the physical poles and down back to the opposite physical pole resulting in the biggest solar storm we have ever recorded.
Are solar storms becoming more dangers? Yes they are. But why? The earths’ magnetos sphere is becoming weaker every year. The weaker the earths’ magneto sphere becomes, the less protection we have against solar storms
Do solar storms effect climate change on earth? A theory has been presented that suggest that solar storm does affect climate on earth. This biggest piece of evidence that has been presented in support of this theory is the little ice age. The little ice age was a period between 1645 and 1715 which also happens to be a period of low solar activity. This theory is however still being debated and no conclusive proof has been found as yet. There is also a second theory that suggest that the sun not only has a 11year cycle but a hundred thousand year cycle as well and it is because of this cycle that earth has a hundred thousand year ice age cycle. This theory has also not been proven conclusively. However we are currently approaching the end of the hundred thousand year period and conclusive proof may yet be just around the corner. Scientist does know today that solar storms normally result in higher cloud formations. For more information on climate change click here Climate change.
Do solar storms lead to high seismic activity? Although there is clear evidence that there was high seismic activity before the last ice age, and most scientist agree that massive volcanic eruptions can trigger ice ages, there is no evidence discovered linking massive solar storms leading up to these periods of high seismic activity. Although there is scientist speculating that the Sun is responsible for the Ice ages. For more information on increasing seismic activity click here Increasing seismic activity. For more information on super volcanoes click here Super Volcanoes.
The rating
Will a big solar storm occur in 2012?
Rating: High possibility
Reason for rating: Solar storms are very unpredictable and no one really knows when and how big the next solar storm will be, because of this unpredictable nature the rating is high.
If you would like to do more research on solar storms you can visit the links here
J.H Theart and Tanit
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